Clear, concise, comprehensive horseracing analysis and insight from Paul Jones, former author of the Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide, concentrating on jump racing in addition to the best of the Flat and leading Sports events.
  • Andy Richmond's Beating The Bias & Big Race Trends (leading 20 jumps season handicaps) uploaded - Paul's Blog uploaded - NFL Week 4 & World Grand Prix Darts 1st Round uploaded - Longchamp Race Previews uploaded - World Grand Prix Darts (outright) uploaded

Hennessy Thoughts

Saturday, November 28th

I love the Hennessy, not attending it as there just isn’t enough room at Newbury to cater for the race to enjoy the day properly, but the build up and then when the action ratchets up as they head out onto the final circuit as one by one they drop away. If you are not within a few lengths at the first fence in the home straight (four out) then forget it.

Denman aside, Galway Blaze back in 1985 was probably just about my favourite winner ahead of Strands Of Gold. Hard to believe that there were only eight runners when Ghofar won looking at how competitive the race is these days. It’s been a while since I backed the winner, State Of Play in 2006, so hopefully one of my two ante-post bets that I put up in Big Race Focus over the last couple of weeks can put that right. Next Wednesday’s Big Race Focus will be on the Becher Chase.

When it comes to dissect the Hennessy after the race, it is worth remembering that it’s been the best the Grand National guide and Many Clouds completed the double last year. The Druids Nephew, who looked to be going like a winner at Aintree when leading until falling five out, also contested the Hennessy earlier in the season. Between 1987-2005 as many as 18 of its field went on to finish in the first four in the Grand National, of which seven won. It went quiet for ten years until Neptune Collonges ran at Newbury four seasons ago but came back with a bang last year.

However, the Hennessy has been a terrible guide to the Welsh National as horses which take their chance at Chepstow after a big run at Newbury have found it hard to get over those exertions in time. Given that second and third-season chasers have dominated both these staying prizes and there is only a month between the two races, a logical conclusion would be to support a horse that performed with distinction in the Newbury showpiece. However, no Hennessy runner has won the Welsh Grand National since Playschool completed the double in 1987 and many have been very well fancied since. In fact, we have witnessed 12 horses start favourite or second-favourite at Chepstow off the back of a big effort at Newbury without success since 1987, the latest being Monbeg Dude last year who was sent off favourite after finishing fourth at Newbury. It almost certainly leads to the conclusion that any horse that excelled in the Hennessy would, in all probability, need more than a month to recover from those exertions in another red-hot, staying handicap.


1.     In joining Paul Jones you will have private access to the views of a trusted, reliable, profitable-to-follow analyst and author of 33 horseracing books in an absorbing and entertaining, easy-to-follow, practical format written with purpose and authority.

2.     Access to the regular Ante-Post Focus articles whch have made members huge profits since we launched in November 2015 including Rule The World at 50/1 for the Grand National and Wings Of Eagles (SP 40/1) for the Derby amongst many other big-priced winners.

3.     Access to weekend previews throughout the bulk of the Jumps Season (averaging 12 races analysed per weekly column), every race at the Cheltenham, Aintree and Punchestown Festivals and the leading 30 days of the Flat Season.

4.     Access to an 18 weeks’ build up to the Cheltenham Festival (approx. 8000 words every Monday) with ante-post recommendations (level stakes profit of 44 points to date) to assist in building a long-range portfolio and a 6 weeks’ build up to Royal Ascot (7 winners from 17 ante-post recommendations in 2016).

5.     We also have all the major sporting events covered including the very profitable Football service (Premier League Picks made a level stakes profit of 31 points in 2016/17 following on from a 45 level stakes profit on the World Cup and Euro 2016) and we also have superb analysts in the fields of Golf, (Ciaran Meagher) Tennis (Carl Redden), Cricket (Paul Smith), Darts (Mike Henderson), NFL (Andy Richmond) and Politics (Adam Hewson). Click on ‘View Example Copy’ in the right-hand menu on the Home Page if you don’t believe us!

6.     If you are familiar with Paul from his industry-respected trends-related Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide which he wrote for 16 years, you can now access his unique Race Trends for approximately 110 racesthroughout the year including all races at Cheltenham Festival, Aintree Grand National Meeting and Royal Ascot.

7.     Access to weekly Horses to Follow throughout the Flat Season and horseracing guest contributions from Alan Potts, the author of the revered Against The Crowd and The Inside Track, Andy Richmond of RacingUK and Mark Ball, formerly of Let's Live Racing.

8.     Back access to every article ever written (we’re talking over 1000) in every area of the website since our launch in November 2015.

9.     Receive a copy of Paul’s new book to be printed at the end of 2017 which is not for sale and only available to website members.

10.    Very simple to sign up – please see below.

If you decide to sign up to either service we would require your address so an Invoice (with a copy of the Terms and Conditions) can be emailed to you within 24 hours of your confirmation with details of how to transfer funds. This will preferably be via Direct Bank Transfer (a Cheque is second preference). Once payment has been received you will be sent a Username and Password to access the subscription (padlocked icons) areas of the website.

Jumps Season Service

An approximate 6 months' service running between October 21st 2022 until the end of the Punchestown Festival 2023 focussing on weekend previews, major festivals and Cheltenham Festival Ante-Post updates. Membership: £595.

Find Out More

All-Inclusive Service

A 12 months’ service that can be ordered at any time featuring ALL the content encompassed within the Jumps Season Service in addition to Flat racing and Sports analysis. Membership: £895.

Find Out More